Federal Budget and Shutdown Risk
Why this is rated elevated
The Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027 (H.R. 6500) funds agencies at FY26 rates until December 11, 2026 (Sec. 106(3)). It passed the House 370-48 on September 1, 2026 and was sent to the President. From September 28, 2026, that leaves about 74 days until funding lapses, beyond the 30-day threshold, so the status is stable. FY26 appropriations were signed into law; FY27 bills are advancing but not yet enacted.
Elevated: Some indicators are outside normal ranges or a known risk is developing. Core functions are unaffected. Methodology
What is this?
Every year Congress has to agree on how to pay for the government.
How it's doing: Still working, but something is a little off.
About this area
Each year Congress must pass appropriations to fund federal agencies. If it does not, agencies without funding must shut down non-essential operations. For FY27, Congress passed a continuing resolution extending FY26 funding levels through December 11, 2026 while full-year bills move through committee and the House floor.
Indicators
Latest readings. Changes are shown without judgment of whether up or down is better.
| Indicator | Latest |
|---|---|
Days until funding lapses Continuing resolution funds government at FY26 rates until December 11, 2026. Sources: Congress.gov (via House Appropriations Committee link), House Committee on Appropriations | 74days |
Appropriations bills enacted FY26 appropriations were signed into law; no FY27 full-year bills enacted yet, with several advanced out of committee and the House floor. Source: House Committee on Appropriations | 0 of 12 (FY27) |
Timeline of developments
House panel notes FY26 appropriations signed into law as FY27 bills advance (opens original release)
A House Appropriations release states FY26 appropriations were signed into law by the President and that FY27 bills have advanced out of the full committee, with multiple passing the House floor.
Source: House Committee on AppropriationsHouse passes continuing resolution, sends it to the President (opens original release)
The House approved Senate amendments to H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations Act, 2027, by a vote of 370-48 and sent the measure to the President for signature. The bill funds agencies at FY26 rates until December 11, 2026.
Sources: House Committee on Appropriations, Congress.gov (via House Appropriations Committee link)Senate Appropriations Chair statement on House passage of CR (opens original release)
Chair Susan Collins said the stopgap measure would prevent a government shutdown and that she hoped it would quickly be signed into law so the chambers could return to full-year appropriations bills.
Source: U.S. Senate Committee on Appropriations
Sources and citationsWhere this info comes from
- 1.House Sends Bill to President Trump's Desk, Averts Partisan October Shutdown
House Committee on Appropriations. Accessed Sep 28, 2026.
- 2.Sen. Collins Statement on House Passage of Continuing Resolution
U.S. Senate Committee on Appropriations. Accessed Sep 28, 2026.
- 3.H.R. 6500 Engrossed Amendment, Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027
Congress.gov (via House Appropriations Committee link). Accessed Sep 28, 2026.
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