Severe Weather
Why this is rated stable
The named-storms indicator reads 0 active named Atlantic storms as of 2026-09-28 (NHC lists only Tropical Depression Fay in the Atlantic, plus three Eastern/Central Pacific systems), which is below the elevated threshold of 1 and triggers the stable level. Supporting readings: 13 active NWS warnings (6 flood, 3 coastal flood, 3 gale, 1 hazardous seas) and 47 major disaster declarations YTD.
Stable: Operating within normal ranges. No significant disruptions or unusual risks. Methodology
What is this?
This tracks hurricanes, big storms, floods, and extreme heat and cold.
How it's doing: Working normally.
About this area
Tracks hurricanes, severe storms, flooding, and extreme heat and cold. The Atlantic basin currently holds one weakening tropical depression (Fay, 30 mph) with no named storms; the Eastern Pacific has Hurricane Polo (120 mph) approaching Baja California Sur and Tropical Storm Rachel (45 mph), and the Central Pacific has Hurricane Nolo (150 mph). Active US warnings are concentrated in flood, coastal flood, and marine hazards. FEMA has recorded 47 major disaster declarations in 2026, most recently for severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes, and flooding across the Plains and Midwest.
Indicators
Latest readings. Changes are shown without judgment of whether up or down is better.
| Indicator | Latest |
|---|---|
Active named Atlantic storms NHC lists Tropical Depression Fay (30 mph) in the Atlantic; no named Atlantic storms are active. Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center | 0storms |
Active NWS warnings 13 warnings among 301 active alerts: 6 flood, 3 coastal flood, 3 gale, 1 hazardous seas. Source: National Weather Service | 13warnings |
Major disaster declarations (YTD) Major disaster declarations issued in 2026, including September declarations for severe storms and flooding in KS, IA, and other states. Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency | 47declarations |
Charts
Timeline of developments
Tropical Depression Fay holding on in the Atlantic (opens original release)
NHC advisory 32 reports Fay with 30 mph sustained winds moving south at 6 mph, described as 'holding on as a tropical cyclone for now'; no named Atlantic storms are active.
Source: NOAA National Hurricane CenterNHC reports Polo with 120 mph sustained winds moving north at 10 mph, with life-threatening winds and flash floods expected over portions of Baja California Sur and Sonora Monday and Tuesday.
Source: NOAA National Hurricane CenterEmergency declaration issued for Tropical Storm Nolo in Hawaii (opens original release)
FEMA records an emergency declaration (EM-3654) for Hawaii dated 2026-09-25 for Tropical Storm Nolo.
Source: Federal Emergency Management AgencyFEMA records major disaster declarations dated 2026-09-01 covering severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes, and flooding in Kansas (DR-4940, DR-4943), Iowa (DR-4942), and other states.
Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency
Sources and citationsWhere this info comes from
- 1.Active tropical cyclones
NOAA National Hurricane Center. Accessed Sep 27, 2026.
- 2.Active weather alerts
National Weather Service. Accessed Sep 27, 2026.
- 3.Disaster declarations
Federal Emergency Management Agency. Accessed Sep 27, 2026.
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